Forecasting & Planning

Probabilistic Forecasting Examples, Ensembles & Scenario Toolkit

Practical worked examples and templates for building, evaluating, and using uncertainty‑aware forecasts: quantile forecasts, simple ensembles, and a lightweight Bayesian approach. Includes evaluation guidance (CRPS, calibration), common pitfalls, and scenario templates that connect probabilistic outputs to staffing, capacity, inventory, and financial planning.